Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
