Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
-2.62) 
0.33) 
