Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Niort had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.