Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Caen had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.