Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
