Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Troyes in this match.
