Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
