Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.