Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
