Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.