SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Caen had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Caen |
| 63.99% | 21.99% | 14.03% |
| Both teams to score 43.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% | 53.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% | 74.69% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% | 16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.19% | 83.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 13.11% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 63.99% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.03% |
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