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MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
NE

Orlando City
1 - 3
New England

Urso (33')
Carlos (47'), Dike (53'), Nani (62'), Urso (75')
Pereyra (60')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gil (17' pen.), Bou (25', 86')
Buksa (28')
Coverage of the MLS Playoffs Conference Semi-Finals clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
33.92%25.33%40.75%
Both teams to score 56.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24%69.76%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95%57.05%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 33.92%
    New England Revolution 40.75%
    Draw 25.32%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 9.12%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.75%


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