Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties

Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')

Coverage of the MLS Playoffs First Round clash between Orlando City and New York City FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
31.5%	24.02%	44.47%

Both teams to score 59.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63%

42.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.23%

64.77%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1%

25.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11%

60.89%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73%

19.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01%

50.99%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 31.5%

New York City FC 44.47%

Draw 24.02%

Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.5% 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.24% Total : 44.47%