Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.