It has been an emotional couple of weeks for the players and fans in Charlotte, and we expect to see a highly motivated and well-organised home team this weekend, eager to turn the page and use this turmoil as a rallying cry moving forward.
That should give them a psychological edge over a side who are extremely dangerous in the final third but have gone winless in their last two MLS road contests.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
0.34) 
-0.4) 
