Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.18% ( 0.19) | 24.3% ( -0.05) | 17.52% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 43.87% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.97% ( -0) | 56.03% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.88% ( -0) | 77.12% ( 0) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.07) | 19.13% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( 0.12) | 50.76% ( -0.12) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.25% ( -0.17) | 45.75% ( 0.17) |