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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Oct 12, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Soldier Field
DU

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
DC United

Sapong (3'), Sekulic (45+1')
Azira (59'), Sapong (89'), Medran (90'), Shuttleworth (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bornstein (56' og.)
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and DC United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawDC United
62.75%20.64%16.61%
Both teams to score 53.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96%13.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.41%39.59%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.01%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 62.74%
    DC United 16.61%
    Draw 20.64%
Chicago FireDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.54%
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 62.74%
1-1 @ 9.75%
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.79%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.61%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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