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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2020 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
CF

Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Etienne (20'), Nagbe (81'), Zardes (88')
Valenzuela (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pineda (29'), Calvo (48')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
45.16%25.13%29.71%
Both teams to score 55.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85%48.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69%70.31%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03%29.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92%66.08%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 45.16%
    Chicago Fire 29.71%
    Draw 25.12%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 29.71%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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