Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
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