Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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