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Thursday, November 21
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1
Apr 17, 2021 at 1am UK
BBVA Stadium
SJ

Houston
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Rodriguez (39'), Urruti (56')
Picault (29'), Vera (41'), Jones (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marie (74')
Lopez (51'), Remedi (52'), Rios (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
54.8%20.86%24.34%
Both teams to score 65.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.47%32.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.81%54.19%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94%12.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44%37.56%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 54.8%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.34%
    Draw 20.86%
Houston DynamoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 6.64%
1-0 @ 6.54%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 4.52%
4-1 @ 3.51%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 1.08%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.8%
1-1 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-1 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.99%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.34%

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