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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 at 2am UK
Providence Park
SJ

Vancouver
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Adnan (51'), Ricketts (57')
Teibert (90+1'), Owusu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fierro (24')
Lopez (82')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
35.54%24.46%40%
Both teams to score 59.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75%43.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36%65.65%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05%23.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82%58.19%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34%21.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21%54.79%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 35.55%
    San Jose Earthquakes 40%
    Draw 24.46%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40%


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