Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Miami in this match.