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Friday, April 19
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Sep 28, 2020 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
IM

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Fontana (25'), Ilsinho (69'), Aaronson (90+6')
Santos (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reyes (5')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawInter Miami
45.66%25.25%29.09%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98%49.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9%71.1%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48%54.51%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 45.65%
    Inter Miami 29.09%
    Draw 25.25%
Philadelphia UnionDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.09%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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