SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
63.52% ( 0.15) | 20.39% ( -0.07) | 16.09% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.14) | 42.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( 0.14) | 65.01% ( -0.14) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( 0.09) | 12.76% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.18) | 39.02% ( -0.18) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.02) | 39.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.78% ( -0.02) | 76.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 63.52% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.09% |
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