SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
59.26% ( 0.05) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0) | 43.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( 0) | 65.92% ( -0) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0.02) | 14.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( 0.03) | 42.17% ( -0.03) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.04) | 36.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( -0.04) | 73.44% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.03% |
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