SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
51.61% ( 0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.03) | 22.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( 0.05) | 55.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( 0.04) | 76.96% ( -0.04) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( 0.06) | 21.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( 0.08) | 54.85% ( -0.09) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.03) | 40.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( -0.03) | 76.69% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.59% |
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