Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.