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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Sep 13, 2020 at 12am UK
Red Bull Arena
FC

NY City
2 - 1
Cincinnati

Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
61.67%21.29%17.04%
Both teams to score 51.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78%67.22%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98%14.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.44%41.55%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29%39.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61%76.39%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.66%
    FC Cincinnati 17.04%
    Draw 21.29%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.36%
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 61.66%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.04%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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