SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 42.83% | 24.76% | 32.41% |
| Both teams to score 57.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% | 45.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% | 67.75% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% | 21.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.84% | 54.17% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-1 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.41% |
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