Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.