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Friday, April 26
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Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2020 at 1am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
HD

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Ebobisse (35'), Valeri (61')
Williamson (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elis (85' pen.)
Figueroa (7'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Valentin (86'), Elis (87')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
51.56%23.21%25.23%
Both teams to score 57.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18%42.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78%65.22%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 51.56%
    Houston Dynamo 25.23%
    Draw 23.2%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51.56%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.23%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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