Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.