Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.