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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Oct 15, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
NY

Toronto
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Pozuelo (23' pen.)
Piatti (53'), Akinola (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clark (77')
Yearwood (22'), Rzatkowski (52'), Tarek (71')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York Red Bulls.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York Red Bulls
58.2%21.76%20.04%
Both teams to score 55.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72%42.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.69%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75%14.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99%42.01%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.63%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 58.2%
    New York Red Bulls 20.04%
    Draw 21.76%
TorontoDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 3.14%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.04%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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