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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2
Apr 24, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Earthquakes Stadium
FD

Earthquakes
3 - 1
Dallas

Alanis (34' pen.), Espinoza (49'), Cowell (59')
Lopez (45'), Fierro (53'), Salinas (75'), Remedi (90+4')
Wondolowski (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pepi (79')
Hollingshead (16'), Acosta (25'), Tessmann (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawDallas
51.57%22.99%25.44%
Both teams to score 58.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96%64.03%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76%16.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25%45.75%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 51.57%
    Dallas 25.44%
    Draw 22.99%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.44%

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