Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.