Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.