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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6
May 13, 2021 at 12am UK
Exploria Stadium
CC

Toronto
2 - 0
Columbus Crew

Bradley (13'), Altidore (87')
Delgado (46'), Bono (54'), Altidore (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Keita (89'), Mensah (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
44.99%25.28%29.72%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17%48.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07%70.92%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7%30.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52%66.48%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.98%
    Columbus Crew 29.72%
    Draw 25.28%
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.72%

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