Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.