SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Brackley Town |
22.1% ( 0.71) | 23.5% ( 0.36) | 54.39% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.71) | 47.27% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.66) | 69.5% ( 0.66) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.28) | 35.69% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.53% ( 0.29) | 72.46% ( -0.29) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.64) | 17.27% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.39% ( -1.13) | 47.6% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.76% Total : 54.39% |
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