Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.