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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Marine AFC |
48.8% ( -0.72) | 25.26% ( 0.11) | 25.94% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.01) | 51.02% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( -0.01) | 72.89% ( 0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.31) | 20.92% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( -0.49) | 53.66% ( 0.48) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( 0.5) | 34.35% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( 0.54) | 71.06% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.94% |
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