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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 2
Marine AFC

Pedro (49')
Popoola (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Holmes (10', 44')
Holmes (54'), Whelan (64'), Mattock (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawMarine AFC
48.8% (-0.722 -0.72) 25.26% (0.112 0.11) 25.94% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.31 -0.31)20.92% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.486 -0.49)53.66% (0.483 0.48)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (0.505 0.5)34.35% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (0.538 0.54)71.06% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 48.8%
    Marine AFC 25.94%
    Draw 25.25%
BuxtonDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-3 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 1-5 Harrogate
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Marine AFC 3-2 Atherton
Tuesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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