SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
56.39% ( -0.48) | 23.65% ( 0.08) | 19.96% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( 0.18) | 50.44% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( 0.16) | 72.37% ( -0.16) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.11) | 17.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -0.19) | 48.35% ( 0.2) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( 0.55) | 39.66% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% ( 0.5) | 76.34% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.35% Total : 19.96% |
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