SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 83.64%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 5.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
83.64% ( 0.17) | 10.87% ( -0.11) | 5.48% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.28) | 28.51% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.34) | 49.38% ( -0.35) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.11% ( 0.08) | 4.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.35% ( 0.24) | 19.64% ( -0.24) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.51% ( 0.01) | 50.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15% ( 0.01) | 84.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
| 3-0 @ 11.31% 2-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.73% 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.87% Total : 83.64% | 1-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.69% Total : 10.87% | 1-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 5.48% |
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