Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.