Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
