Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.