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National League North | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Gloucester City
1 - 2
Curzon Ashton

Thompson (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomas (10', 83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawCurzon Ashton
43.46%24.04%32.49%
Both teams to score 60.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94%42.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53%64.47%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42%19.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5%51.5%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85%25.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14%59.86%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 43.46%
    Curzon Ashton 32.49%
    Draw 24.04%
Gloucester CityDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 9.04%
1-0 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 43.46%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.49%

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