Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.