SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Darlington in this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
| 47.38% | 23.71% | 28.91% |
| Both teams to score 59.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% | 42.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.06% | 48.94% |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.91% |
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