Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Darlington in this match.
