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National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
4 - 3
Chester

Curran (23', 37'), Peers (54', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Simmonds (46'), Waring (62'), Roberts (75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawChester FC
41.93%24.97%33.1%
Both teams to score 57.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85%46.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55%68.45%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25%26.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98%62.02%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 41.93%
    Chester FC 33.1%
    Draw 24.97%
Curzon AshtonDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.1%

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